Evaluate agricultural policy outcomes with credible comparisons.
Inputs, example and sources
World Bank · Impact Evaluation in Practice Second Edition
Institution publication · Chapter 7, table 7.2, printed page 140, PDF page 170
The formula is verified. Causal interpretation still requires a defensible study design, comparison and assumptions.
Keep the same place, observation period, definitions, units and source versions.
Analysis inputs. Treatment Real enterprise income on stated price basis before [LKR/ha]; Treatment Real enterprise income on stated price basis after [LKR/ha]; Comparison Real enterprise income on stated price basis before [LKR/ha]; Comparison Real enterprise income on stated price basis after [LKR/ha]; Study design and comparability evidence; Outcome definition, method and reference basis
Other required evidence. Policy exposure; baseline; follow-up; comparison group; prices; weather; confounders.
Fictional worked example · 2025
Laggala Pallegama — policy evaluation · Laggala Pallegama
| Input or result | Value | Unit |
|---|
| Treatment Real enterprise income on stated price basis before | 420,000 | LKR/ha |
| Treatment Real enterprise income on stated price basis after | 590,000 | LKR/ha |
| Comparison Real enterprise income on stated price basis before | 390,000 | LKR/ha |
| Comparison Real enterprise income on stated price basis after | 460,000 | LKR/ha |
| Study design and comparability evidence | Missing | |
| Outcome definition, method and reference basis | Real enterprise income on stated price basis /example matching definition1 | |
| Difference in changes | 100,000 | LKR/ha |
|---|
The arithmetic alone does not establish causation. Design, parallel trends, confounding, attrition, uncertainty and adverse effects need appropriate evidence.
Proposed checking role. Agricultural economist, market analyst and survey statistician.
After the action. Verified outcomes, costs, distributional effects and evidence strength.
- World Bank Impact Evaluation in Practice Second Edition — Institution publication. Chapter7 difference-in-differences. Published difference-in-differences estimator and study assumptions; aggregate examples do not establish causation.
- SHARED domain decision contracts — Validation required. Domain decision rules and matching fictional examples. Local comparisons, constraints, source matching, sorting and follow-up proposals; developer checks do not establish scientific or client approval.
Institution and data context
- HARTI weekly commodity bulletins — Government publication. Full method locator not established. Institutional context; does not establish the calculation or local approval.
- HARTI annual report 2024 — Government publication. Full method locator not established. Institutional context; does not establish the calculation or local approval.
- FAO food loss measurement — Institution publication. Full method locator not established. Institutional context; does not establish the calculation or local approval.
Confirm local scope, data rights, parameters and responsible roles in this Institution review. Published components retain their source; they do not approve the local application.